Levels of highest qualification held by working age adults: 2024
Presents statistics on the highest qualification held by adults of working age in Wales for 2024.
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Introduction
All of the data in this report is sourced from the Annual Population Survey (APS) (Office for National Statistics (ONS)). The questions in the APS that relate to qualifications were updated in 2022 to reflect the current Regulated Qualifications Framework (RFQ) (Ofqual) as they were previously based on an outdated National Qualification Framework (NQF). The statistics presented here from 2022 onwards are not comparable with previous years as a result. More detail on this is provided in the quality information.
Data is presented below in relation to different qualification levels held by the working age population. Further detail on qualification levels is provided in the Quality Information. Level 2 qualifications are equivalent to GCSE grades A* to C or a level 2 diploma; Level 3 qualifications are equivalent to A or AS level, T Level or a level 3 diploma; and Level 4 qualifications or above are higher education level, equivalent to at least a foundation degree, the first year of a Batchelor’s degree or a Higher National Certificate (HNC) or Higher National Diploma (HND).
These estimates were previously classed as accredited official statistics. The APS has seen a fall in sample sizes over recent years, given this and the fact that the survey has not been reweighted to latest population estimates, the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR) has agreed that this accreditation should be temporarily suspended and that the estimates should be re-designated as official statistics (OSR).
It is still appropriate to use these statistics, however users should note the increased uncertainty around estimates derived from the APS. At a national level, estimates continue to provide a reasonable indication of trends for Wales, however, estimates for smaller geographies or population sub-groups are less reliable.
Main results
- An estimated 7.9% of working age adults in Wales reported having no qualifications in 2024. No change compared to 2023.
- 87.6% of working age adults in Wales held at least level 2 qualifications, 68.6% held at least level 3 qualifications and 46.4% held at least level 4 qualifications.
- Females were more likely than males to be qualified to at least level 4 and were less likely to have no qualifications.
- Of all working aged adults, the highest proportion with qualifications were in the 25 to 34 age group in 2024.
- Qualification levels were higher for the UK as a whole compared to Wales.
Figure 1: Highest level of qualification held by adults of working age, Wales, 2008 to 2024 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 1: Qualification levels in Wales have steadily increased since 2008.
Highest qualification levels of working age adults by year and qualification on StatsWales
[Note 1] Estimates since 2022 cannot be compared to previous years following changes to the questions on qualifications in the Annual Population Survey in 2022.
This release includes one of the national indicators published under the Well-being of Future Generations Act, namely:
There are two national milestones associated with this national indicator, one of which is ‘75% of working age adults in Wales will be qualified to level 3 or higher by 2050’. An estimated 68.6% of working age adults in Wales were qualified to level 3 or higher in 2024.
Further information on the national indicators, national milestones and the Well-being of Future Generations Act is provided towards the end of this release. Analysis related to the second national milestone – ‘the percentage of working age adults with no qualifications will be 5% or below in every local authority in Wales by 2050’ – is included in the section on geography.
Level of highest qualification held by geography
The proportion of working age adults with higher education level or equivalent qualifications (Level 4+) was highest in Cardiff (58.3%), Monmouthshire (57.2%), and the Vale of Glamorgan (54.1%). This proportion was lowest in Blaenau Gwent (31.1%), Merthyr Tydfil (33.8%) and Neath Port Talbot (36.5%).
The proportion of working age adults with no qualifications was highest in Blaenau Gwent (13.8%) and Rhondda Cynon Taff (13.6%). This proportion was lowest in Ceredigion (2.3%) and Powys (3.1%).
The second national milestone associated with the national indicator included in this release is ‘the percentage of working age adults with no qualifications will be 5% or below in every local authority in Wales by 2050’. There are currently six local authorities where the percentage of working age adults with no qualifications is below 5% - Vale of Glamorgan, Monmouthshire, Wrexham, Gwynedd, Powys and Ceredigion.
The proportion of working age adults with at least a Level 1 qualification in Wales (92.1%) was lower than in England (94.3%) and the UK (93.9%), on a similar level to Scotland (92.3%) and higher than Northern Ireland (90.0%).
The gap in the proportion of working age adults with no qualifications between Wales and the UK was 1.9 percentage points in 2024 (Wales higher than the UK). The UK had a higher proportion of working age adults qualified to at least level 2 (1.5 percentage point gap), at least level 3 (2.2 percentage point gap) and at least level 4 (3.0 percentage point gap) than Wales.
Figure 2: Level of highest qualification held by adults of working age Wales and UK, 2008 to 2024 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 2: Qualification levels across the UK as a whole have consistently been higher than in Wales since 2008, with a slightly lower proportion holding no qualifications across the UK as a whole. The gap between those qualified to level 2 or above compared to those with no qualifications has widened since 2008.
[Note 1] Estimates since 2022 cannot be compared to previous years following changes to the questions on qualifications in the Annual Population Survey in 2022.
Level of highest qualification held, by characteristic
Sex and age
The qualification profile is shown for all adults of working age (18 to 64) alongside that for those aged 18 to 24 and 60 to 64.
Figure 3a: Highest level of qualification held by adults of working age (18 to 64) by sex, Wales, 2024
Description of Figure 3a: Overall, an estimated 8.8% of males held no qualifications in 2024 compared with 7.2% of females. Females are more likely to hold qualifications at or above level 4. The highest proportion for both males and females was at levels 4 to 6.
Highest qualification levels of working age adults by sex, age and qualification on StatsWales
There are higher proportions of males than females in Wales with no qualifications in all age groups apart from 60 to 64 year olds. The 25 to 34 age group had the highest proportion of adults qualified to level 2 and above and level 3 and above. The 35 to 49 age group had the highest proportion of adults qualified to level 4 and above.
The proportion of adults with qualifications broadly decreases as age increases.
Figure 3b: Highest level of qualification held by adults aged 18 to 24 by sex, Wales, 2024
Description of Figure 3b: Females aged 18 to 24 were more likely to hold qualifications at level 3 and above in 2024. Males in this age group were more likely to hold no qualifications or qualifications at level 2. Level 3 was the most commonly held level of highest qualification for both sexes in the 18 to 24 age group.
Highest qualification levels of working age adults by sex, age and qualification on StatsWales
Figure 3c: Highest level of qualification held by adults aged 60 to 64 by sex, Wales, 2024
Description of Figure 3c: The level of highest qualification held by 60 to 64 year olds was more evenly distributed than in younger age groups. There is also less of a clear pattern between the sexes. The proportion of females with no qualifications (14.4%) was higher than the proportion of males (11.9%) in this age group. Females were more likely to hold level 2 qualification. Males were more likely to hold level 3 qualification. The proportion of males and females was similar for level 4 and above qualifications.
Highest qualification levels of working age adults by sex, age and qualification on StatsWales
Of all working age adults in Wales, the 60 to 64 age group contained the highest proportion with no qualifications. This group also had the lowest proportion qualified to at least level 3 and the second lowest qualified to at least level 4 (behind 18 to 24 year olds).
Disability
Figure 4: Highest level of qualification held by adults of working age by disability, Wales, 2024
Description of Figure 4: Disabled people were more likely to have no qualifications (14.6%) than non-disabled people (5.2%) and were less likely to hold qualifications at level 3 or higher in 2024.
The proportion of disabled working age adults in Wales with no qualifications was 14.6% in 2024, an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared to 2023. This compares to 5.2% of non-disabled people in Wales with no qualifications, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points over the year.
The proportion of disabled working age adults in Wales qualified to level 3 or above was 56.8% in 2024, an increase of 2.1 percentage points compared to 2023. This compares to 73.3% of non-disabled people in Wales qualified to level 3 or above, an increase of 1.1 percentage points over the year.
Ethnicity
The survey asks respondents what they consider to be their ethnic origin. The White category includes White – Welsh/English/Scottish/Northern Ireland/British and any other White background including Gypsy and Irish Travellers.
The data presented in this section excludes people in full-time education in order to omit foreign students who are studying in Wales temporarily from the analysis. For further information please see Notes and Definitions section.
Figure 5: Level of highest qualification held by adults of working age by ethnicity, Wales, 2024
Description of Figure 5: Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic working age adults were more likely to hold qualifications at levels 4 and above (43.2%) than White working age adults (33.3%) in 2024 and were also more likely to hold qualifications below level 2.
The proportion of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic working age adults in Wales with no qualifications was 6.1% in 2024, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points compared to 2023. This compares to 8.4% of White working age adults in Wales with no qualifications, an increase of 0.3 percentage points over the year.
The proportion of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic working age adults in Wales qualified to level 3 or higher was 77.5% in 2024, an increase of 6.2 percentage points compared to 2023. This compares to 67.4% of White working age adults in Wales qualified to level 3 or higher, an increase of 1.1 percentage points over the year.
Welsh language
Higher qualification levels were reported amongst Welsh speakers than their non-Welsh speaking counterparts. 79.9% of Welsh speakers hold a qualification at level 3 or higher, compared to 65.1% of non-Welsh speakers. The proportion of non-Welsh speakers with no qualifications was 9.5% compared with 2.9% of Welsh speakers.
Employment status
Figure 6: Level of highest qualification held by adults of working age by employment status, 2024
Description of Figure 6: In 2024, 20.1% of those who were either unemployed or economically inactive reported having no qualifications. This compares to 4.8% for those in employment (excluding those who were in full-time education). 52.2% of those in employment held qualifications at or above level 4 compared to 29.7% of those who were either unemployed or economically inactive.
Occupation
Persons employed in professional occupations are more likely to be qualified to at least level 4 than those in other jobs, with 85.4% of persons qualified to this level in 2024.The least likely to be qualified to at least level 4 were persons employed as process, plant and machine operatives (17.4%). However, 82.2% hold at least level 2 qualification.
Notes
Policy and operational context
This statistical release presents the annual snapshot of qualification levels of the working age population in Wales.
The statistics are used within the Welsh Government to monitor trends in qualification levels. This release contains data for one of the national indicators (8 - percentage of adults with qualifications at the different levels of the National Qualifications Framework) and two related national milestones.
These statistics, along with the national indicator and national milestones are specifically included within Stronger, fairer, greener Wales: a plan for employability and skills.
Background to the Labour Force Survey/Annual Population Survey
The statistics presented in this release are based on the results of the APS for 2023. Further information about the data used is presented in the quality information. Data from the APS, a household survey carried out by the ONS is available from 2004, and prior to this comparable data are available from the annual Local Labour Force Survey for Wales for 2001 to 2003.
These estimates, previously classed as accredited official statistics, have had their accreditation by the OSR temporarily suspended and are now classed as official statistics. See note on in the Quality Information below.
Data in this release are presented for working age adults aged 18 to 64 according to their age at the start of the academic year. Between April 2010 and November 2018, the state pension age for women gradually increased from 60 to 65. Accordingly, the series has been amended to a working age definition of 18 to 64 for both males and females, rather than its earlier definition of 18 to 64 for males and 18 to 59 for females.
Estimates on this basis are only available from 2008 onwards and figures within this release are therefore not directly comparable with those based on the previously used definition.
Headline figures on the previous working age definition (18 to 59/64) are available on StatsWales.
Definitions
Ethnicity
For the analysis of qualifications by ethnicity, people in full-time education have been excluded. This change has been made to remove the impact of international students who attend higher education in Wales and thus inflate the proportion with Level 3+ qualifications.
Disability
The Welsh Government accepts the social definition of disability, in which it is recognised that barriers in society act to disable people who have impairments or health conditions or who use British Sign Language.
The APS which is the source of data for this release, captures data using the medical definition of disability used in the Equality Act 2010 (“a physical or mental impairment which has a substantial and long-term impact on a person’s ability to carry out normal day to day activities”). Figures within this release are not comparable to those within releases prior to 2015, which reported those reporting DDA current disability or work-limiting disability.
Qualification framework
From January 2022 the questions on qualifications in the Labour Force Survey/Annual Population Survey were updated to be based on the Regulated Qualifications Framework (RQF) (Ofqual), replacing the previous questions based on the National Qualifications Framework (NQF). The impact of this change on the comparability and coherence of these statistics is explained in the quality information.
The 'Mapping of highest qualification to RQF levels for statistical analysis' document lists the qualifications specifically included in the Labour Force Survey/Annual Population Survey questionnaire and provides details of the RQF level to which they have been assigned for the purposes of statistical analysis.
The RQF has three entry levels followed by levels 1 to 8. In Wales the relevant framework is the Credit and Qualifications Framework for Wales (CQFW); a meta framework designed to provide greater clarity on the qualifications system in Wales. The CQFW maintains links with the qualification frameworks of the other UK nations. The CQFW levels align directly to those used within the RQF for England and Northern Ireland. Alignment of the CQFW to other frameworks ensures that qualifications can be compared and recognised, thus offering portability and transferability for learners and workers.
Quality information
Relevance
Users of these statistics include:
- Cabinet Secretaries, Ministers and Welsh Government officials
- members of the Senedd and researchers in the Senedd
- other government departments
- students, academics and universities
Accuracy
The data presented in this release is based on sample surveys, therefore is subject to sampling variability. This means the data is subject to differing degrees of sampling variability, i.e., the true value for any measure lies in a differing range about the estimated value. This range or sampling variability increases as the detail in the data increases, for example individual local authority data are subject to higher variability than Wales data.
The APS combines the boosted samples of the Labour Force Survey. It provides rolling four-quarter data for UK countries and regions and also for local areas. The larger sample of the APS allows for estimates at a local authority level and for sub-groups of the population.
These estimates were previously classed as accredited official statistics. The APS has seen a fall in sample sizes over recent years, given this and the fact that the survey has not been reweighted to latest population estimates, the OSR has agreed that this accreditation should be temporarily suspended and that the estimates should be re-designated as official statistics (OSR).
It is still appropriate to use these statistics, however users should note the increased uncertainty around estimates derived from the APS. At a national level, estimates continue to provide a reasonable indication of trends for Wales, however, estimates for smaller geographies or population sub-groups are less reliable.
Proxy response
If the respondent is not available at the time of interview, questions may be answered by proxy through another member of the household. For information on highest qualifications, around 61.8% of responses have been derived from a respondent's own answers. 25.9% were obtained from a spouse or partner whilst 12.3% were obtained from another proxy.
Section 11 of the LFS User Guide (ONS) Volume 1 presents findings from a follow up study to test the accuracy of results from proxy respondents.
The results for highest type of qualification held show nearly two thirds matching with significant net error from proxies understating qualifications. However, there was wide variation in the standard of proxy response. This variation is both in terms of the relationship of the proxy to the subject (parents were much better than spouses or children) and by the level and type of qualifications held. Reporting was much better for those subjects holding degrees (80% matched) than for those holding lower or vocational qualifications (30% matched).
Non-response
Information on highest qualification is derived from several questions in the survey. Overall, the highest qualification was unknown or unable to be derived for 2.2% of respondents. These respondents have been excluded from the analysis in this release.
Allocation of ‘other’ qualifications
Whilst questions in the survey are used to allocate qualifications to RQF levels as far as possible, for ’other’ qualifications (those not explicitly identified and mapped to a level in the survey) the responses are distributed into levels using proportions that have been fixed for many years. These qualifications are apportioned across RQF levels Below Level 2, Level 2 and Level 3 in the ratio 55:35:10. This is a continuation of an aspect of the methodology used prior to 2022 where a number of other qualification types where the level was unknown were also apportioned across various levels.
Timeliness and punctuality
This statistical release is published annually in April and covers the preceding year ending 31 December.
Accessibility and clarity
This statistical release is pre-announced and then published on the Statistics & Research website of the Welsh Government. All underlying data for this release as well as other years are available on StatsWales.
Comparability and coherence
The statistics presented here for 2022 onwards are not comparable with previous years due to the changes to the qualification questions in the Labour Force Survey and APS in 2022. The questions have been updated to reflect a change from the previous NQF to the current Regulated Qualifications Framework (RQF) in England and Northern Ireland and new types of qualifications that were not previously captured. The ONS made changes to these questions through consultation with the devolved administrations and other government departments through the Labour Force Survey Steering Group.
The changes may result in the identification of a different highest qualification for an individual than if the old questions had been asked. Changes to the mapping of qualifications have also impacted on these statistics. For example, under the questions based on the NQF, one A level or 2 to 3 AS levels would have been categorised as level 2. Under the current questions based on the RQF these are now categorised as level 3. These changes have led to a noticeable difference in the proportion of respondents with a highest qualification at levels 2 and 3, in particular.
Statistics presented in this release, particularly for 2020 and 2021, may have been affected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Examination and assessment arrangements, and therefore the awarding of some qualifications from Summer 2020 onwards, were affected by the pandemic. The statistics presented here cover working age adults aged 18 to 64, many of whom may not have been working towards achieving qualifications during the pandemic. Any impact is likely to be greater for younger age groups.
The figures may differ to those published from statistical publications by other government departments due to a slight difference in source and/or methodologies for deriving levels of qualifications. Also, other tables may be based on all persons of working age (16 to 64) whilst this release is restricted to those aged 18-64 (adults of working age).
Data is also available from the Census of Population on highest qualification levels. We have published summary data for Wales from the most recent Census in Education in Wales (Census 2021). The statistics presented in this release are not directly comparable to those from the Census. As well as the different data collection modes, these statistics are based on working age adults (aged 18 to 64) whereas those from the Census are based on all usual residents aged 16 and over.
The biggest benefit of the Census data compared to these statistics is that it is not based on a sample survey. This provides the ability to analyse data within local authority, down to community level, and in cross tabulations with small subgroups of the population not possible through the APS.
More detailed data and analysis of education is available via the ONS’s create a custom dataset tool and release plans for Census 2021 (ONS).
Statement of compliance with the Code of Practice for Statistics
Our statistical practice is regulated by the OSR. OSR sets the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics that all producers of official statistics should adhere to.
All of our statistics are produced and published in accordance with a number of statements and protocols to enhance trustworthiness, quality and value. These are set out in the Welsh Government’s Statement of Compliance.
These official statistics demonstrate the standards expected around trustworthiness, quality and public value.
You are welcome to contact us directly with any comments about how we meet these standards. Alternatively, you can contact OSR by emailing regulation@statistics.gov.uk or via the OSR website.
Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)
The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural well-being of Wales. The Act puts in place seven well-being goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the Well-being goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016 and this release includes one of the national indicators namely:
- (8) Percentage of adults with qualifications at the different levels of the National Qualifications Framework.
Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the well-being goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.
As a national indicator under the Act they must be referred to in the analyses of local well-being produced by public services boards when they are analysing the state of economic, social, environmental and cultural well-being in their areas.
The Act states national milestones must be set that “…the Welsh Ministers consider would assist in measuring whether progress is being made towards the achievement of the well-being goals.” In doing so Welsh Ministers must specify how we know that a national milestone has been achieved and the time by which it is to be achieved.
National milestones are not performance targets for any individual organisation, but are collective measures of success for Wales.
In this release indicator 8 – percentage of adults with qualifications at the different levels of the National Qualifications Framework – corresponds to two milestones:
- 75% of working age adults in Wales will be qualified to level 3 or higher by 2050.
- The percentage of working age adults with no qualifications will be 5% or below in every local authority in Wales by 2050.
Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local well-being assessments and local well-being plans.
We want your feedback
We welcome any feedback on any aspect of these statistics which can be provided by email to labourmarket.stats@gov.wales
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