A linked data analysis investigating strength of attendance of Year 11 pupils in Welsh maintained secondary schools as a predictor of progression to post-16 education.
This is the latest release
This analysis explores the relationship between school attendance in year 11 and progression outcomes in post-16 education.
Attendance is a strong predictor of post-16 progression outcomes.
- Lower attendance is strongly associated with a reduced likelihood of pupils continuing to post‑16 education.
- Among learners who progressed to post-16 education, lower year 11 attendance was associated with a higher likelihood of course non-completion the following year.
- Learners with lower attendance who progressed were more likely to choose a vocational course rather than an AS level course.
Although the strength of the association between attendance and progression outcomes has weakened following the COVID-19 pandemic, attendance remains the strongest influencing factor amongst those considered. This highlights the central role of attendance in shaping learner pathways.
Reports
Data
Datasets and interactive tools
Year 11 attendance and progression to post-16 education: September 2016 to August 2024 , file type: ODS, file size: 39 KB
Contact
Data Acquisition and Linking for Research (ADR Wales)
Email: ADRWales@gov.wales
Rydym yn croesawu gohebiaeth yn Gymraeg / We welcome correspondence in Welsh.
Media
Telephone:
0300 025 8099
Rydym yn croesawu galwadau yn Gymraeg / We welcome calls in Welsh.