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Introduction

This statistical release analyses the revenue and capital expenditure that Welsh local authorities are forecast to spend in the financial year prior to April 2026.

Revenue expenditure is the cost of running local authority services such as staffing, heating, lighting and cleaning, together with expenditure on goods and services consumed within the year.

Capital spending is mainly buying, constructing or improving physical assets such as buildings, land and vehicles.

This report only deals with financial years, for example, April 2025 to March 2026. These will be displayed as 2025-26.

The data are provided on the revenue account (RA) and capital forecast (CFR) returns submitted by all 22 county councils, 4 police and crime commissioners, 3 fire and rescue authorities and 3 national park authorities in Wales.

Detailed information over time and at a local authority level is published in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Main points

Total budgeted revenue expenditure as reported by local authorities for 2025-26 is £11.6 billion, an increase of 6.1% on the previous year.

County and county borough councils reported increases of 6.0% or £578 million in their budgeted revenue expenditure whilst police reported an increase of 6.8%. Fire authorities reported an increase of 6.3% and national park authorities reported an increase of 6.3%.

Education expenditure is forecast to increase by 7.8% and social services expenditure is forecast to increase by 9.5%. Planning and economic development expenditure is forecast to decrease by 18.1% partly due to a reduction in the UK shared prosperity fund grant.

In 2025-26, total capital forecast expenditure by Welsh local authorities, including police, fire and national parks is £2,531 million. This represents a year-on-year increase of £95 million or 3.9%.

Housing services account for 28.1% of the total capital forecast expenditure, education services 22.8% and planning and economic development 14.0%.

Revenue budget

Figure 1: Service level budgeted revenue expenditure, 2025-26

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Description of Figure 1: Bar chart showing the budgeted revenue expenditure by service including police, fire and national parks as a percentage of the overall expenditure. Education and social services combined make up 61% of the overall budgeted expenditure.

Source: Welsh Government revenue account returns

More data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts can be found in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Figure 2: Financing of budget requirement in Wales, 2025-26

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Bar chart showing what percentage of the total budget requirement for local authorities and police is financed through revenue support grant, council tax or other means. For 2025-26, 30% of the budget requirement is funded from council tax. Budget requirement is the amount each authority estimates as its planned spending, after deducting any funding from reserves and specific grants.

Source: Welsh Government revenue account returns

More data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts can be found in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Figure 3: £ per head, difference from the Wales county average, 2025-26

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Description of Figure 3: Bar chart showing for each local authority the difference in revenue expenditure (in £s per head) from the county average. The £ per head difference between the largest and smallest authority is £1,074. Gwynedd has the largest revenue expenditure per head figure partly due to the county being the lead for a large UK shared prosperity fund grant.

Source: Welsh Government revenue account returns

More data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts can be found in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Capital forecast

Figure 4: Forecast capital expenditure by service, 2025-26

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Description of Figure 4: Bar chart showing capital forecast expenditure by service, as a percentage of overall expenditure. Housing makes up 28% of all capital expenditure.

Source: Welsh Government capital forecast returns

More data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts can be found in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Figure 5: Financing of capital forecast expenditure, 2025-26

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Description of figure 5: Bar chart showing how local authorities intend to finance their capital expenditure in 2025-26 and the balance of funding between external support and internal financing. General capital funding and capital grants cover 42% of capital forecast financing whilst unsupported borrowing covers 31%.

Source: Welsh Government capital forecast returns

More data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts can be found in the associated data tables (MS Excel) and on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

Glossary

Data sources

The main sources of information on revenue budgets and capital forecasts in Wales are the revenue account (RA) and the capital forecast (CFR) returns. Wales collect 100% of returns from all twenty-two county councils, four police and crime commissioners, 3 fire and rescue authorities and 3 national park authorities.

Background

Revenue expenditure is the cost of running local authority services such as staffing, heating, lighting and cleaning, together with expenditure on goods and services consumed within the year.

Capital spending is mainly buying, constructing or improving physical assets such as buildings, land and vehicles.

Revenue definitions

Gross revenue expenditure is total local authority expenditure on services, plus debt financing costs, but net of any income from sales, fees, and charges and other non-grant sources. It includes expenditure funded by specific and special government grants and expenditure funded from local authority reserves.

Net revenue expenditure is gross revenue expenditure excluding that funded by specific and special grants (except police grant).

Budget requirement is the amount of expenditure that is funded by council tax and general support from central government, i.e. revenue support grant, police grant, redistributed non-domestic rates, and any transitional grant relief for council tax. It differs from net revenue by the amount drawn from or added to reserves.

Fire authorities and national park authorities

These authorities fall within the general definition of local authorities. Fire authorities receive all their funding as a levy from the county and county borough councils, whilst National Park authorities receive about 25% of their funding as a similar levy, and 75% in the form of specific grants from central government. The county and county borough council figures in this release have been reduced by the amount of the levies to give the full picture for the expenditure of the fire authorities and national park authorities.

Capital definitions

From 2004-05 onwards

The prudential framework came into force on 1st April 2004. From that date basic and supplementary credit approvals were replaced by hypothecated supported borrowing (Borrowing and credit arrangements that attract central government support), general capital grant and specific grants such as Major Repairs Allowance. Under this framework, authorities are allowed to borrow for capital purposes without Government consent, provided they can afford to service the debt. This is known as prudential or unsupported borrowing. Expenditure and financing figures are on an accruals basis.

Quality and methodology information

Official statistics status

All official statistics should show the standards of the Code of Practice for Statistics (UK Statistics Authority).

These are accredited official statistics. They were independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR) in March 2019. They comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics.

It is Welsh Government’s responsibility to maintain compliance with the standards expected of accreditation. If we become concerned about whether these statistics are still meeting the appropriate standards, we will discuss any concerns with OSR promptly. Accreditation can be cancelled or suspended at any point when the highest standards are not maintained, and reinstated when standards are restored.

Accredited official statistics are called National Statistics in the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007.

Statement of compliance with the Code of Practice for Statistics

Our statistical practice is regulated by the OSR. OSR sets the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics that all producers of official statistics should adhere to.

All of our statistics are produced and published in accordance with a number of statements and protocols to enhance trustworthiness, quality and value. These are set out in the Welsh Government’s Statement of Compliance.

These accredited official statistics (OSR) demonstrate the standards expected around trustworthiness, quality and public value in the following ways.

You are welcome to contact us directly with any comments about how we meet these standards. Alternatively, you can contact OSR by emailing regulation@statistics.gov.uk or via the OSR website.

Trustworthiness

The main source of information on local authority revenue budgets and capital forecasts are the revenue account (RA) and capital forecast (CFR) returns.

We collect 100% of returns from all county councils, police and crime commissioners, fire and rescue authorities and national park authorities. The collection is a 100% survey and as such no estimation of the figures is calculated, and hence there is no sampling error.

The data collection is carried out in March and April. The data is normally published in June, this allows time to collect, collate and validate the data.

In tables where figures have been rounded to the nearest final digit there may be an apparent discrepancy between the sum of the constituent items and the total as shown.

The statistics that are collected adhere to recognised professional standards. Specifically, the finance data is required under legislation and also must adhere to CIPFA accounting procedures. However, further guidelines are also available on the interpretation of these standards to ensure consistency.

Adhering to the professional code (CIPFA’s SeRCOP) has meant that changes over time have been minimal. Where there have been time series which are not comparable from the start of the time series to the end this will be shown clearly in the outputs. Where advance warning is known of future changes these will be pre-announced in accordance with Welsh Government arrangements.

The existence of a professional code and our adherence to it provides assurance that the data are consistent across domains, such as local authorities.

The Welsh local government finance statistics are published in an accessible, orderly, pre-announced manner on the Welsh Government website at 9:30am on the day of publication. All releases are available to download for free.

All outputs adhere to the Code of Practice by pre-announcing the data of publication through the upcoming calendar web pages.

Access to the data during processing is restricted to those involved in the production of the statistics, quality assurance and for operational purposes.

Pre-release recipient information can be found on the Welsh Government website.

Quality

The published figures are compiled by professional analysts using the latest available data and applying methods using their professional judgement and analytical skillset.

Statistics published by Welsh Government adhere to the Statistical Quality Management Strategy which supplements the Quality pillar of the Code of Practice for Statistics and the European Statistical System principles of quality for statistical outputs.

When data is received through the returns, validation checks are performed by Welsh Government statisticians and queries referred to local authorities where necessary. The statistical release is then drafted and quality assured by senior statisticians and published in line with the Code of Practice for Statistics (UK Statistics Authority).

The data collection contains multiple validation checks at source to ensure the best quality data is provided. This includes year-on-year tolerance checks and arithmetic consistency checks.

Once we receive the data, it goes through further validation and verification checks, for example:

  • spend per head by local authority
  • extra arithmetic consistency checks
  • cross checks with other relevant data collections
  • thorough tolerance checks
  • outturn comparison with budgets
  • cross checks with data from other government departments
  • verification that data outside of tolerances are correct

More detailed guidance on the steps taken to ensure quality can be found in the Local government finance statistics: quality report.

Value

The statistics are important and have a number of uses, for example: advice to Ministers; local government finance revenue settlement calculations; unitary authority comparisons and benchmarking; expenditure in Wales compared to other countries; informing the debate in the Senedd and beyond; assisting in research in public expenditure issues; economic analysis.

More detailed data are also available at the same time on the StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast) and this can be manipulated online or downloaded into spreadsheets.

Data on revenue budgets and capital forecasts are also available for England (gov.uk) and Scotland (Scottish Government).

We aim to use Plain English in our outputs and all outputs adhere to the Welsh Government accessibility policy.

Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)

The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Wales. The Act puts in place seven wellbeing goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the wellbeing goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016.

Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the wellbeing goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.

Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.

The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local wellbeing assessments and local wellbeing plans.

Further details

A full detailed breakdown over time of the data contained in this release is available on our StatsWales website (Budgets) and StatsWales website (Forecast).

We want your feedback

If you have any feedback on this statistical release especially on the change from PDF to HTML and associated data tables then please contact us using the email address below.

Contact details

Statistician: Anthony Newby
Email: stats.finance@gov.wales

Media: 0300 025 8099

SFR 49/2025