Collection Technical Advisory Group: modelling updates and subject specific reports Reports on different modelled scenarios to inform planning and decision making. Part of: Infections (Sub-topic) and Strategy and evidence: coronavirus (Sub-topic) Organisation: Technical Advisory Cell First published: 8 May 2020 Last updated: 7 October 2024 In this collection Modelling updates Subject specific reports Modelling updates Science Evidence Advice: winter modelling 2024 to 2025 24 September 2024 Report Science Evidence Advice: winter modelling 2023 to 2024 3 October 2023 Report Science Evidence Advice: winter modelling paper update December 2022 3 January 2023 Report Science Evidence Advice: winter modelling 2022 to 2023 11 October 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: modelled levels of protection against COVID-19 infection and severe disease in Wales 7 July 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: modelling retrospective June 2022 10 June 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 11 February 2022 9 March 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: winter modelling update February 2022 9 March 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 11 January 2022 14 January 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 17 December 2021 17 December 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 30 November 30 November 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 14 October 2021 26 October 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 24 September 2021 12 October 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: winter modelling update 10 September 2021 29 September 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 12 July 2021 13 July 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 25 June 2021 28 June 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: policy modelling update 5 May 2021 14 May 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: modelling the current Welsh Test, Trace, Protect system 24 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Cell modelling update: 12 February 2021 11 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group Policy Modelling: December 2020 and January 2021 18 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell modelling update: 26 May 2020 26 May 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell modelling update: 7 May 2020 8 May 2020 Report Subject specific reports Science Evidence Advice: The social cost of a covid infection October 2022 26 July 2023 Report Science Evidence Advice: influenza short and medium term projections June 2023 20 June 2023 Report Science Evidence Advice: winter planning update (NHS Wales staff absence) 22 February 2023 Report Science Evidence Advice: Coronavirus and health inequalities 28 November 2022 Report Science Evidence Advice: winter planning - NHS Wales staff absence 25 November 2022 Report Science Evidence Advice: Long COVID update October 2022 21 October 2022 Report Science Evidence Advice: comparing COVID-19 cumulative incidence between Wales and England 7 October 2022 Report Technical Advisory Cell: Health inequalities in COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in Wales - March 2020 to July 2022 26 August 2022 Report Length of stay in hospital for COVID-19 patients in Wales 4 July 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: the social value of a COVID-19 case January 2022 1 July 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: examining deaths in Wales associated with COVID-19 30 March 2022 30 March 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: Consensus statement on face masks for the public 28 March 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: Living safely with COVID-19 in Wales: risk communication and behavioural science perspectives 25 March 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: reducing COVID-19 transmission in schools and colleges: the role of air cleaning devices amongst other mitigations 31 January 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: reduction in isolation period supported by lateral flow testing for cases of COVID-19 31 January 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: the impact in Wales of the COVID-19 ‘false negative’ PCR tests reported during September/October 2021 31 January 2022 Report Technical Advisory Group: COVID-19 hospital admissions 24 January 2022 Report Updated advice from the Technical Advisory Group and Chief Scientific Advisor for Health on the evidence for the use of COVID Passes 2 December 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: COVID-19 waning immunity 10 November 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: evidence review of ozone generators including appropriateness as mitigation in classrooms 14 October 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: what is the social value of a covid case and how has it changed? 29 September 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: advice on vaccine passports 17 September 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: modelling the Impact of Test, Trace, Protect (TTP) on COVID-19 transmissions in Wales 24 August 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: sustaining COVID-safe behaviours in Wales 13 August 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: COVID-19 population immunity estimates in Wales 9 August 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: moral injury in health care workers during the COVID-19 pandemic 3 August 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: 5 harms arising from COVID-19 16 July 2021 Report Technical Advisory Cell: changes to the alert level control plan indicators 16 July 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: advice for nightclubs and adult entertainment venues 16 July 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: review advice on communal singing and chanting, including wind instruments and pipe organs 1 July 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: plastic screens in taxis and private hire vehicles 23 June 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: use of face coverings in childcare and educational settings for Under 18s 19 June 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: briefing on variant of concern B.1.617.2 28 May 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: using SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing in a diagnostic setting 11 May 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: the potential risks and benefits of removing restrictions in a phased approach to mitigate the impact of harms from COVID-19 in Wales 8 April 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: statement on priority considerations relating to personal protective behaviours to inform decisions on easing of restrictions in Spring 2021 8 April 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: COVID-19 evidence associated with transmission and potential risks associated with religious activities and places of worship 23 April 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: examining deaths in Wales associated with COVID-19 24 March 2021 24 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: high-level findings of clotting in Wales and COVID-19 vaccination 22 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: mitigating risks of increased COVID-19 transmission during elections 19 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk in public toilets 18 March 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: current evidence relating to weddings 18 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: consensus statement on testing in the context of vaccination associated with care homes 8 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: considerations for changing the operation of schools to allow more face-to-face learning 5 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: air cleaning devices 3 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: Long-COVID 3 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: Surveillance approaches to determine the risk, frequency and origin of SARS-CoV-2 entry into UK airports 3 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: using behavioural science to inform policy and practice 1 February 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: SARS-CoV-2 infection risks at indoor exercise facilities 18 January 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: variant of concern and education in Wales 28 January 2021 Report Technical Advisory Group: Brief on the viral variant VOC-202012/01 24 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: updated consensus statement on recommended testing criteria for discharge of asymptomatic patients to care homes 15 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: briefing paper on the infectivity of COVID-19 11 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: statement regarding non-pharmaceutical interventions in the pre-Christmas period 7 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: swimming pools, hot tubs, saunas and steam rooms and risk from COVID-19 7 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions in the Local Health Protection Zones and the Firebreak in Wales 3 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: summary of evidence on costs and benefits and potential mitigations for measures to address COVID-19 in Wales 3 December 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: SARS-CoV-2 infection risks at ice rinks 19 November 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: evidence review on children and young people under 18 in preschool, school or college following the firebreak 13 November 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: behavioural insights to support a post fire break Wales 9 November 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: guidance for assessing the potential for new technologies to improve SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing 22 October 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: consensus statement on use-cases for near patient and point-of-care tests for detecting SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA or antigens 21 October 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell: coronavirus (COVID-19) and health inequalities 19 October 2020 Report Genomic analysis of Covid-19 lineages in Wales 14 October 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: review of data and monitoring to support childcare, schools and FE operations up to age 18 9 October 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: behavioural insights for contact tracing systems and young people 1 October 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: new reasonable worst case scenario for Winter 18 September 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: statement on testing travellers returning to Wales from areas of high prevalence 11 September 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: statement on single vs double testing patients 9 September 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: updated advice on face coverings 14 August 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: testing criteria for discharging asymptomatic patients to care homes 12 August 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: advice on school transport 11 August 2020 Report Post-mortem testing: consensus statement 23 July 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: examining deaths in Wales associated with COVID-19 17 July 2020 Report Technical Advisory Group: use of tests to detect antibody to SARS-CoV-2 antigens 15 July 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell: Principles for using RT-PCR test to detect SARS-CoV-2 15 July 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell: seasonal effects on COVID-19 in South America 14 July 2020 Report COVID-19 circuit breakers and early warning indicators 13 July 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell: Impact of European measures to ease lockdown restrictions on R values summary briefing 16 June 2020 Report Technical Advisory Cell: use of face coverings in the context of COVID-19 9 June 2020 Report Testing for COVID-19 in care homes: consensus statement 19 May 2020 Report Related Strategy and evidence: coronavirus (Sub-topic)Technical Advisory Cell: summary of coronavirus advice Technical Advisory Cell: review cycles Wastewater monitoring reports: coronavirus